RAHS is called Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning, in the news.
ChannelNewsAsia: New system to help S'pore detect potential threats, emerging trends
On the Business Times: Singapore pioneers anti-terrorism strategy
On the Straits Times: New systems to help sniff out threats
On 联合早报
The Centre of Excellence for National Security: International Risk Assessment & Horizon Scanning Symposium, 19-20 Mar 2007, Shangri-La Hotel, Singapore
http://www.ntu.edu.sg/rsis/cens/irahs.html
Interesting from a system thinking point of view - "silos" (do we hear this before somewhere else?) and "mindsets": "Intelligence failures have always been grouped around two main causes. The first, repeated by the 9/11 Commission in the United States, is the lack of information sharing between government agencies, commonly referred to as “stove-piping” or silos. The second problem is common to the national structure of most states. A stubborn “mindset” in analysts, managers and leaders - who believe that only their way of working is the right way - means that making changes is difficult without a cataclysmic event to prompt it. The problem is that the next cataclysmic event may be so terrible that no one would be around to study the “lessons” afterward."
Certainly, any program of such significance have to examine more facets of diomand :
- concepts and methologies
- technical solutions and its consequencs
- the thin line between intelligence and genesis
- whichever policy/political agenda
- we do not know what we do not know!
Posted
Feb 14 2007, 01:07 AM
by
blackinkbottle